Trade Tensions and Stockpiling Continue to Hurt Oil Prices

Oil prices dropped on Thursday. extending falls from the previous session amid surging US crude inventories as low refinery runs and ongoing trade tensions weighed on the demand outlook.

World shares made it four days in the red in the last five as concerns grew the China-US trade conflict was fast turning into a technology cold war between the world’s two largest economies.

Brent crude futures. the international benchmark for oil prices. were at $69.77 (€62.46) per barrel on Thursday. down $1.22 from their last close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down by $1.09 cents at $60.33 per barrel. after falling 2.5 per cent the previous day.

Brent is set for its biggest weekly fall in six months and WTI in 15 weeks.

Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch pointed to “general market sentiment and a broad sell-off in commodities. whilst gold is up. Typical risk-off pattern.“

US crude oil inventories rose last week. hitting their highest levels since July 2017. the government’s Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Industry data had also shown a surge in US crude stockpiles.

Commercial US crude inventories rose by 4.7 million barrels in the week ended May 17. to 476.8 million barrels. the EIA data showed.

“The headlines figures are depressing enough and scratching the surface does not paint a rosier picture either.“ PVM’s Tamas Varga said in a note.

“The prevalent optimism for a tighter global market and higher oil prices will now only be vindicated when US oil inventories start drawing.“

Beyond weak refinery demand for feedstock crude oil. the increase also came on the back of planned sales of US strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) into the commercial market.

US crude oil production climbed by 100.000 barrels per day (bpd) to 12.2 million bpd. putting output near its record of 12.3 million bpd reached late last month.

Also bearish is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China. which is clouding economic growth. and with that. oil demand predictions as well.

The US military said it sent two Navy ships through the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday. its latest transit through the sensitive waterway. angering China.

Countering these bearish factors are ongoing supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). French bank BNP Paribas said high inventories meant that OPEC would likely keep its voluntary supply cuts in place beyond their current end-June deadline.

 

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