OPEC+ delegates expect the group’s monitoring session next month to be routine, making no changes to plans for a supply hike starting in the fourth quarter. The group led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed last month to begin gradually restoring roughly 2.2mn barrels a day of halted crude output …
Read More »Russia Plans Compensation Cuts after Pumping above OPEC Plus Quota
Russia plans to make extra crude production cuts to compensate for pumping above its OPEC+ quota in the warm seasons of this year and next, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Moscow’s additional curbs will most likely happen in summer and early fall for technological reasons, said the …
Read More »Saudi Arabia’s Economic Strategy is a Double-Edged Sword for OPEC Stability
While countries like Brazil and the United States are often seen as major pressures on OPEC oil production policies, Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030 might pose an even greater challenge. This transformative economic strategy, spearheaded by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, aims to shift the kingdom’s reliance away from oil, …
Read More »OPEC+ Cuts and Demand Woes Keep Oil Prices in Narrow Trading Range
Oil prices have remained in a narrow $75 to $90 a barrel trading range since the end of 2022, as the OPEC+ group continues to keep supply off the market but often-resurfacing concerns about global oil demand have dampened bullish sentiment. After spiking to above $100 a barrel in the …
Read More »OPEC Sticks to Strong Oil Demand Growth Forecasts
OPEC has stuck to its forecast for relatively strong growth in global oil demand in 2024 and 2025, citing resilient economic growth and strong rebound in air travel in the summer months. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC has predicted that global oil demand would rise by …
Read More »OPEC+ Oil Production Cheats Show Little Sign of Making Compensation Cuts
In its effort to shore up global oil markets, OPEC+ is pushing members to atone for cheating on their supply quotas. Yet there’s little indication that they’re repenting. Iraq and Kazakhstan — members of the OPEC+ coalition that is paring crude output to defend prices — have pledged extra curbs …
Read More »Oil Eases as Strong Dollar Weighs on Commodities Markets
Oil prices inched down on Monday as concerns of higher-for-longer interest rates resurfaced and lifted the dollar, offsetting support for oil markets from geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ supply cuts. Brent crude futures slipped 5 cents to $85.19 a barrel by 04:17 GMT, after settling down 0.6% on Friday. US West …
Read More »Rystad Predicts near Zero Oil Supply Growth in 2024
Rystad Energy on Monday projected that global oil supply growth would slow in 2024 and potentially the following year, due to the extension of OPEC+ voluntary cuts and the cartel’s demand forecast. Based on the most recent OPEC+ guidance, total global oil supply growth will be near zero in 2024, …
Read More »OPEC Sec Gen: Peak Oil Demand not on the Horizon
In the 1990s and 2000s, the world regularly saw column inches devoted to the theory of peak oil supply, amplified by voices like Colin Campbell and Matthew Simmons. Decades later, however, it has still not come to pass, as enhanced economics and constant improvement in technology have helped lower costs …
Read More »OPEC’s Trillion-Dollar Bet against U.S. Shale
Since 2008, the shale boom has grown U.S. oil production by about 9 million barrels per day. In the early days of the shale boom, when it wasn’t clear whether this development would have a significant impact, it was largely ignored by OPEC. By late 2014, as U.S. oil production …
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